Efficient market and the COVID-19 pandemic: Case of ASEAN-5

Authors

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.58784/cfabr.7

Keywords:

returns, random walk, ASEAN-5, Covid-19

Abstract

The issue of Covid-19 has a negative impact, especially on the capital markets of ASEAN-5 countries (Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapore, Thailand, and the Philippines). This study aims to examine the movement of market returns in ASEAN-5 countries at the start of the Covid-19 pandemic. The data used are daily market indices for the period 2020 to 2021. The findings show that market indices for all ASEAN-5 countries move unstable throughout 2020. In 2021, efficient market conditions under the assumption of a weak form only occur in Singapore where the trend of the index of the market becomes more predictable. Empirical evidence also shows that the interrelationship between market indices in ASEAN-5 countries is varied.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

Aeni, N. (2021). Pandemi COVID-19: Dampak kesehatan, ekonomi, & social. Jurnal Litbang: Media Informasi Penelitian, Pengembangan dan IPTEK, 17(1), 17-34. DOI: 10.33658/jl.v17i1.249

Akhmad, T. (2022). Pertumbuhan ekonomi Indonesia di masa pandemi Covid-19. Muttaqien; Indonesian Journal of Multidiciplinary Islamic Studies, 3(1), 67–77. DOI: 10.52593/mtq.03.1.05

Altig, D., Baker, S., Barrero, J. M., Bloom, N., Bunn, P., Chen, S., Davis, S. J., Leather, J., Meyer, B., Mihaylov, E., Mizen, P., Parker, N., Renault, T., Smietanka, P., & Thwaites, G. (2020). Economic uncertainty before and during the COVID-19 pandemic. Journal of Public Economics, 191, 1-13. DOI: 10.1016/j.jpubeco.2020.104274

Aslam, F., Ferreira, P., Ali, H., & Kauser, S. (2022). Herding behavior during the Covid-19 pandemic: a comparison between Asian and European stock markets based on intraday multifractality. Eurasian Economic Review, 12, 333-359. DOI: 10.1007/s40822-021-00191-4

Budiarso, N. S., Hasyim, A. W., Soleman, R., Zam Zam, I., & Pontoh, W. (2020). Investor behavior under the Covid-19 pandemic: The case of Indonesia. Investment Management and Financial Innovations, 17(3), 308-318. DOI: 10.21511/imfi.17(3).2020.23

Dewi, A. A., Aulia, D., Sumunar, K. I., & Hernawati, E. (2021). Pengaruh COVID-19 terhadap perekonomian di negara ASEAN. JISIP: Jurnal Ilmu Sosial dan Pendidikan, 5(3), 673-681. DOI: 10.58258/jisip.v5i3.2228

Dias, R., Pereira, M. J., & Carvalho, C. L. (2022). Are African stock markets efficient? A comparative analysis between six African markets, the UK, Japan and the USA in the period of the pandemic. Naše Gospodarstvo/Our Economy, 68(1), 35-51. DOI: 10.2478/ngoe-2022-0004

Fama, E. F. (1965). Random walks in stock market prices. Financial Analysts Journal, 21(5), 55-59. DOI: 10.2469/faj.v21.n5.55

Fama, E. F. (1970). Efficient capital markets: A review of theory and empirical work. The Journal of Finance, 25(2), 383-417. DOI: 10.2307/2325486

Fama, E. F. (1998). Market efficiency, long-term returns, and behavioral finance. Journal of Financial Economics, 49(3), 283-306. DOI: 10.1016/S0304-405X(98)00026-9

Hamzah, M., Syukur, M., Salam, M. N., & Junaidi, M. I. (2021). Dampak pandemi Covid-19 terhadap perekonomian Indonesia: Analisis terhadap sektor domestik dan stabilitas inflasi. TRILOGI: Jurnal Ilmu Teknologi, Kesehatan, dan Humaniora, 2(3), 382-388. DOI: 10.33650/trilogi.v2i3.3082

Malkiel, B. G. (2003). The efficient market hypothesis and its critics. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 17(1), 59-82. DOI: 10.1257/089533003321164958

Nasution, D. A. D., Erlina, & Muda, I. (2020). Dampak pandemi COVID-19 terhadap perekonomian Indonesia. Jurnal Benefita, 5(2), 212-224. DOI: 10.22216/jbe.v5i2.5313

Octavera, S., & Rahadi, F. (2021). Reaksi pasar modal di Asia Tenggara terhadap pandemi Covid-19. Jurnal Ekonomi dan Bisnis Dharma Andalas, 23(1), 162-172. DOI: 10.47233/jebd.v23i1.209

Ozkan, O. (2021). Impact of COVID-19 on stock market efficiency: Evidence from developed countries. Research in International Business and Finance, 58, 1-10. DOI: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2021.101445

Pontoh, W., & Budiarso, N. S. (2021). The idiosyncratic risk during the Covid-19 pandemic in Indonesia. Investment Management and Financial Innovations, 18(4), 57-66. DOI: 10.21511/imfi.18(4).2021.06

Putri, R. N. (2020). Indonesia dalam menghadapi pandemi Covid-19. Jurnal Ilmiah Universitas Batanghari Jambi, 20(2), 705-709. DOI: 10.33087/jiubj.v20i2.1010

Rodoni, A., Djauhari, H., Rahma, Y., & Alhassan, A. A. (2022). Comparative analysis of efficient market for Sharia and Conventional Stocks in ASEAN countries. Al-Iqtishad: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi Syariah, 14(1), 1-22. DOI: 10.15408/aiq.v14i1.25025

Romadhon, M. R., & Ardiansyah, M. (2022). Analisis pasar modal Syariah 5 Negara Asean di era pandemi COVID 19. E-Journal Ekonomi Bisnis dan Akuntansi, 9(1), 36-41. DOI: 10.19184/ejeba.v9i1.30412

Sumarni, Y. (2020). Pandemi Covid-19: Tantangan ekonomi dan bisnis. Al-Intaj: Jurnal Ekonomi dan Perbankan Syariah, 6(2), 46-58. DOI: 10.29300/aij.v6i2.3358

Tetteh, J. E., Amoah, A., Ofori-Boateng, K., & Hughes, G. (2022). Stock market response to COVID-19 pandemic: A comparative evidence from two emerging markets. Scientific African, 17, 1-14. DOI: 10.1016/j.sciaf.2022.e01300

Wang, J., & Wang, X. (2021). COVID-19 and financial market efficiency: Evidence from an entropy-based analysis. Finance Research Letters, 42, 101888. DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2020.101888

Downloads

Published

2023-02-16

How to Cite

Pontoh, W., & Budiarso, N. S. (2023). Efficient market and the COVID-19 pandemic: Case of ASEAN-5. The Contrarian : Finance, Accounting, and Business Research, 1(1), 23–29. https://doi.org/10.58784/cfabr.7

Issue

Section

Articles